摘要本文围绕高速铁路客运枢纽地区的交通方式选择研究展开。首先，论述了高速铁路客运枢纽、交通衔接的概念，分析了国内外在高速铁路客运枢纽站建设方面的研究现状和成果，指出国内对于高速铁路客运枢纽站换乘衔接系统规划建设的不足，明确了本文的研究方向。31909
其次，根据国内外现有的高速铁路枢纽站的结构特征，综合分析了高速铁路与其他各交通方式在枢纽站的地区的一体化换乘衔接体系，为高速铁路枢纽地区交通方式选择研究提供了现实意义的背景。
然后，从出行特性、出行者属性以及交通设施状况三个角度出发，结合过去几年的交通调查数据，概述交通方式划分的基本理论。
最后，针对高速铁路客运枢纽站的客流交通方式选择的研究，建立非集计多项Logit离散选择（MNL）模型，在分析该模型的同时，结合具体的例子，以影响乘客选择交通方式的因素为研究对象，确定MNL模型中乘客选择各交通方式的特征变量，根据调研得到的数据，通过SPSS软件对模型的参数进行计算和检验。最后的数据表明，该模型对于高速铁路客运枢纽地区客流的交通方式选择预测是有效的，在实际应用中，这对于高速铁路枢纽站的规划建设具有重要意义。
关键词：高速铁路 客运枢纽 方式划分 非集计模型 交通规划
毕业论文设计说明书外文摘要
Title Study on the selection of high speed railway passenger transport hub mode area
Abstract
This paper around the high-speed railway passenger transportation hub region selection research.First of all, this paper discusses the high-speed railway passenger transport hub, the concept of the integration, both at home and abroad are analyzed in the aspect of high speed railway passenger terminal building the research status and achievements, pointed out that the domestic for high-speed railway passenger terminal change to the lack of cohesion system planning and construction, has been clear about the research direction in this paper.
Secondly, according to the domestic and foreign existing structure characteristics of the high-speed railway hub station, comprehensive analysis of the high-speed railway and other transportation hub in the region of integration of transfer to join system, for the high-speed railway hub region transportation choice research provides the background of the practical significance.
Then, from the travel characteristics, the traveler attributes, and traffic facilities in three perspective, combining the traffic survey data of the past few years, an overview of the basic theory of transportation pision.
Finally, in view of the high speed railway passenger terminal passenger transportation choice research, establish the disaggregate discrete multinomial Logit (MNL) model choice, on the analysis of the model at the same time, combined with concrete examples, the factors influencing the passenger choice of the means of transportation as the research object, and determine the MNL model of passengers choose different traffic characteristic variables, according to the survey data, through SPSS software for calculation and the parameters of the model test.The final data show that the model for high speed railway passenger transport hub area of passenger flow prediction is effective, transportation in actual application, this to the planning and construction of high-speed railway hub station is of great significance.
Keywords High speed railway Passenger transport hub Way to differentiate The disaggregate model Transportation planning SPSS高速铁路客运枢纽地区交通方式选择研究:http://www.751com.cn/zidonghua/lunwen_28224.html