摘要:本文在干旱背景下,从微观农户层面入手,基于技术效率视角,利用DEA方法对灌溉效率进行实证研究,并将河北、河南、辽宁三省玉米种植户的灌溉效率进行对比分析,结论如下:1.三省农业灌溉用水状况都有很大改进空间,规模收益可变条件下的灌溉效率值普遍高于规模收益不变约束下的效率值,灌溉效率在农业经营规模可自由调整情况下测算结果更好。2.2014年遭受干旱灾害时,三省中河南省在水资源可利用量最少情况下灌溉效率值也最小,水资源对农业生产投入发生扭曲,市场价值不能得到有效反映。3.三省农户灌溉效率的最小值都出现了0值,农户有灌溉投入但无产出,个人灌溉投入可能不足以应对干旱影响,需要政府投入。最后对政府及农户灌溉节水提出相关建议。25308
毕业论文关键字:灌溉效率;DEA方法;对比分析
Agriculture Irrigation Efficiency Comparative Analysis under the Background of Drought ——the evidence from Hebei, Henan, Liaoning provinces
Abstract: In this paper, based on the technical efficiency perspective, the DEA method is used to study the irrigation efficiency of irrigated water under the background of drought, and the irrigation efficiency of Hebei, Henan and Liaoning provinces is compared and analyzed. The paper gets the following three conclusions: 1. All three provinces have a lot of room for improvement on the agricultural irrigation water efficiency. The irrigation efficiency under the variable scale hypothesis is generally higher than the efficiency value under the constraint of unchanged scale. Irrigation efficiency is better when the scale of agricultural management can be free to adjust. 2. When three provinces suffered from the drought in 2014, the irrigation efficiency of Henan Province was the least while the available water resources were also the least. The input of water resources to agricultural production was distorted and the market value could not be effectively reflected. 3. The minimum value of irrigation efficiency of farmers in three provinces all are zero. Farmers have irrigation inputs but no output, so inpidual irrigation investment may not be sufficient to cope with the drought, government investment is need for them. Finally, the paper makes some suggestions on the government and farmers for their irrigation water-saving behaviors.
Key words: irrigation efficiency; DEA method; comparative analysis
目 录
摘要: 1
关键字: 1
Abstract: 1
Key words: 1
引言 2
一、概念界定与文献综述 2
(一)概念界定 2
1.农业生产技术效率 2
2.灌溉效率 2
(二)文献综述 3
1.国外相关研究综述 3
2.国内相关研究综述 3
3.小结 4
二、干旱灾害下农业灌溉效率分析 4
(一)数据来源及研究区概况 4
1.数据来源 4
2.研究区概况 4
(二)DEA灌溉效率测算 5
1.模型设定 5
2.研究对象及变量选取 6
3.描述性统计分析 6
4.实证结果分析 8
四、主要结论与建议 10
(一)主要结论 10
(二)相关建议 11
1.政府方面 11
2.农户方面 11
致谢: 11
参考文献: 11
干旱背景下农业灌溉效率对比分析¬——来自河北、河南、辽宁省三省的证据
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