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摘要对外贸易结构和产业结构的调整在国民经济中一直都是热点话题，并且随着经济全球化的进程，中国开放程度的提高，以及经济的快速发展，产业结构也得到了更进一层的优化与升级。因此，江苏省对外贸易结构对产业结构影响的的研究，对于江苏省产业结构的优化升级以及其进一步的发展具有重要的意义。46469
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本文以江苏省为研究对象，研究江苏省对外贸易结构对产业结构的影响。本文主要分为三部分：首先，分析了对外贸易结构以及产业结构的理论依据；其次，分析了1985-2014年间江苏省对外贸易结构与产业结构的发展现状；最后，通过计量模型分析得出了江苏省对外贸易结构确实促进对产业结构的优化与升级。通过定性与定量相结合的方法得出结论，并提出一些切实有效的政策建议。
通过现状分析，本文主要得出：（1）进出口规模迅速扩大；（2）外贸依存度大幅增加；（3）进出口商品结构得到了极大改善；（4）第一、第三产业占GDP比重变化幅度明显；（5）三次产业对江苏省生产总值增长的拉动变化显著。通过实证分析，本文主要得出：（1）江苏省进口和出口对三次产业结构确实均有升级的作用；（2）利用线性回归分析结果显示二者间存在着较为顺畅的传导机制。通过以上分析结果提出的建议有：（1）进一步加强产业政策和市场机制的相结合；（2）合理分配三次产业的有利资源；（3）引导加工贸易的转型与升级，促进产业结构升级；（4）加强服务贸易的发展，增强江苏省的产业竞争力；（5）适应并利用贸易结构的变化来调整产业结构。
毕业论文关键词：江苏；贸易结构；产业结构；影响
ABSTRACT In the national economy, the foreign trade structure and the industrial structure have always been the hot topics, and with the development of economic globalization, the Chinese economic reform and the rapid economic development, the industrial structure has been optimized and upgraded. Therefore, the research of the influence factors between the foreign trade structure and the industrial structure impacts on pressing ahead to optimize and upgrade the industrial structure.
This paper takes Jiangsu Province as the research object, and studies on the influence of the foreign trade structure on the industrial structure. This paper is pided into three parts: First of all, this paper analyses the theoretical basis of the foreign trade structure and industrial structure; Secondly, this paper analyses the status and trend of the foreign trade structure and the industrial structure from 1984 to 2014. Finally, through the analysis of the measurement model, this paper obtained that foreign trade structure and industrial structure actually can press ahead to optimize and upgrade industrial structure. Through qualitative and quantitative methods, this paper concludes some effective policy advice.
According to the analysis, this paper concludes that: (1) The import and export of the rapid expansion in Jiangsu Province; (2) At the same time, the degree of dependence on the foreign trade has increased greatly; (3) The structure of import and export commodities has been greatly improved; (4) The proportion of industrial structure has been changed in Jiangsu province; (5) The stimulate changes of three industry in GDP growth is also very obvious. Through empirical analysis, this paper concludes: (1) The three industrial can press ahead to optimize and upgrade the industrial structure; (2) This paper shows that there exists two transmission mechanism smoothly.Through the above analyzed results, this paper suggests: (1) We should pay more attention to the combination of industrial policy and market mechanism; (2) We should distribute the primary, secondary and tertiary industries in the capital and labor resources reasonably; (3) To guide the transformation and upgrade the processing trade and further enhance, we should promote the upgrading of industrial structure; (4) We should attach great importance to the development of service trade and enhance the competitiveness of the industry in Jiangsu Province; (5) We should adapt trade structure changes to adjust the industrial structure.