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摘要： 我国从2005年进行了人民币汇率改革，开始采用市场供求为基础，参考一篮子货币进行调节的人民币汇率制度。随着我国综合国力和经济实力的增强，在国际市场上对人民币汇率的升值呼声越来越高。自从我国实行人民币汇率制度改革以来形成了富有弹性的人民币汇率浮动机制。这使得人民币汇率浮动的不确定性和复杂性增强。对我国来说，这种变化还有可能对我国的对外贸易产生影响。在国际金融和贸易活动的各种职能中汇率起到了价格转换的作用，是衡量一个国家进行国际经济活动时最重要的综合性指标。汇率在贸易收支中对一国的对外贸易平衡与国内经济活动都具有深刻的影响。本论文通过多个角度对过去几次的汇率调整在短期内对我国贸易的影响进行分析，研究汇率改革政策给我国贸易收支带来的影响，进而得出面对汇率改革所应采取的措施。
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关键词： 人民币汇率；汇率改革；贸易收支；7221
RMB exchange rate on China's trade balance analysis
Abstract: July 15, 2005, China began to implement a market-based, with reference to a basket of currencies, managed floating exchange rate system, with China’s economic development and the economic is strength. RMB is faced with more and more severe revaluation pressure in the international market. After the reform of RMB exchange rate system, the more marketability mechanism will increase the change of the rate. To our country, this will not only involve the change of RMB to other countries’ currency value, but also will affect our foreign trade.The exchange rate is the most important price in a country for international economic activity indicators, international finance and international trade activities the price conversion functions, thus becoming an important lever to adjust the balance of payments of a country's trade, it changes on a country's foreign trade balance and fluctuations in domestic economic activity has a profound impact. In this paper examine multiple aspects of the previous exchange rate fine-tuning in the short term impact on China's import and export analysis of the impact of the exchange rate reform to China's trade balance, and then developed to deal with exchange rate reform strategy.
Keywords: RMB exchange rate; Exchange rate reform; Trade Balance;
目录
摘要 i
Abstract i
目录 ii
1 导论 1
1.1 研究背景 1
1.2 研究目的和意义 2
1.3 研究现状和发展趋势 2
1.4 文献综述 2
2 我国各阶段汇率调整对我国贸易收支影响的历史回顾与分析 2
2.1 人民币汇率的演变过程和现状 2
2.1.1 改革开放后，我国人民币汇率发展的四个阶段 2
2.1.2 人民币汇率改革的新阶段 3
2.2 中国各阶段汇率调整对我国贸易收支的影响分析 3
2.2.1 相关汇率概念及测算 3
2.2.2 中国各阶段汇率调整对我国贸易收支影响的数据分析 3
3 人民币汇率变动带来的影响 5
3.1 汇率变动影响贸易收支的路径 5
3.1.1 汇率变动引起的贸易商品价格变化对贸易收支影响 5
3.1.2 汇率变动引起的收入变化对贸易收支的影响 5