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摘要本文通过对突发事件网络舆情应急管理指挥的需求分析，针对其智能性、共享性、可重用性等方面的不足，研究使用本体和“信念、愿望、意图”(BDI ，Belief，Desire，Intention）模型解决突发事件网络舆情应急管理指挥仿真的问题。本论文将网民映射为智能体（Agent），提出了基于BDI模型和本体的突发事件网络舆情应急管理模型，基于BDI模型对网络舆情演变过程中的网民群体行为与决策过程进行“信念-愿望-意图”的转换模型建模与仿真，同时利用本体语义描述和建模功能，增强支持Agent的通信语义描述和交互能力，建立突发事件网络舆情应急管理指挥仿真模型，分析模型中各部分功能、关键技术；最后基于模型设计开发系统并进行实证研究，为突发事件网络舆情应急管理指挥提供可具有操作性的预测模型和防震系统。25522
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关键词 突发事件，信念、愿望、意图(BDI，Belief，Desire，Intention）模型，本体，网络舆情，仿真演练，行为建模
毕业论文外文摘要
Title Research on the emergency command and modeling of public opinion based on BDI model and ontology system
Abstract
The demand of network opinion on emergencies emergency management command analysis, according to the intelligence, sharing, reusability is studied using ontology and BDI (belief, desire, intention) model solve unexpected things pieces of network public opinion emergency management command simulation problems. This paper will be mapped to the netizen Agent, and put forward the emergency management model of emergency network public opinion based on ontology and BDI model, BDI model based on the network of public opinion on the evolution of the Internet population behavior and decision-making process of "belief desire intention" conversion model modeling and simulation, and the use of ontology semantic description how to enhance the communication function and modeling, semantic description and the interactive ability of Agent support, the establishment of emergency network public opinion emergency management command simulation model, analysis model of the function of each part, the key technology; based on the model of system design and development and empirical research, forecast models and shock system can be operational for public emergencies emergency management command network.
Keywords Unexpected events; BDI(belief, desire, intention)model; Ontology; Network public opinion; Simulation Training; Behavior Modeling
目 次
1 引言 5
1.1 研究背景和意义 6
1.2 研究内容与创新点 7
1.3 论文的组织框架 9
2 BDI模型和本体 9
2.1 BDI模型 9
2.1.1 BDI模型结构 10
2.1.2 BDI模型理论研究现状 12
2.1.3 BDI-Agent推理规则 13
2.1.4 多Agent开发平台——Netlogo 14
2.2 本体 14
2.2.1 本体的概念和分类 14
2.2.2 本体的表示 15
2.3 BDI模型和本体的关联研究 16
3 突发事件网络舆情应急管理指挥计算模型设计 16
3.1 需求分析与流程设计 16
3.2 BDI建模 18
3.2.1 Agent属性设计 18
3.2.2 BDI规则设计 21
3.2.3 Agent交互规则设计 24
3.3 BDI-Agent 与本体的联合设计 26
3.3.1 本体分析与设计 26