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摘要随着社会发展和环境变化，突发事件在世界各国的频繁发生和规模都在不断提高和扩大。这种事件在短时间内爆发 ,往往给人们的生活带来较大的危害和经济损失 。如何应对非常规突发事件，做好应急管理工作是政府在新时期面临的一项艰巨任务。
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本文首先介绍了在当前国内外背景下突发事件进行研究的重要性，分析了国内外对非常规突发事件的研究现状。其次，对突发事件、协同决策及应急决策等的概念，应急协同决策主体的特征进行了详细的介绍。进一步确定相应的决策评价指标，并构建了应急协同决策预案的评价指标体系。随后，对某突发事件环境下的多部门多环节协同决策进行实证分析，构造出AHP决策超矩阵，并利用TOPSIS进行决策方案的选择。最后,在总结本次研究成果的同时对后续研究工作提出合理的建议。10011
关键字：突发事件 应急协同决策 应急预选方案 AHP/TOPSIS方法
毕 业 论 文 外 文 摘 要
Title Unconventional Emergency multisectoral multi-link cooperative decision theory and method
Abstract
With the social development and environmental change, unexpected events in the world of the frequent occurrence and scale are constantly improve and expand. This event in short bursts, often bring people great harm and pecuniary loss. How to deal with the unconventional emergency, emergency management work in the new period is the government faced a difficult task.
This article first introduced in the current domestic and international context of sudden events of importance, has analyzed domestic and foreign to the unconventional emergency research status. Secondly, the unexpected events, collaborative decision making and emergency decision-making concept, emergency coordination decision main body characteristic are introduced in detail. To further determine the corresponding decision-making evaluation index, and the construction of emergency coordination decision plan evaluation index system. Subsequently, on an emergency environment of many departments link collaborative decision making empirical analysis, constructed out of AHP decision super matrix, and using TOPSIS decision scheme selection. Finally, in the conclusion of this research and the future research work and put forward reasonable suggestions.
Keywords Unexpected events Emergency Coordination Decision
Emergency preliminary scheme The AHP / TOPSIS method
目 次
第一章 绪论 1
1.1. 课题研究背景及研究意义 1
1.1. 1 课题研究背景 1
1.1. 2 课题研究目的及意义 1
1.2. 国内外研究现状及发展动态分析 2
1.2.1 国内外对突发事件的研究现状 2
1.2.2 国内外研究现状评述 3
1.3. 论文研究内容和研究方法 4
1.3.1 论文研究内容 4
1.3.2 论文研究方法 5
第二章 相关理论概述 6
2.1 非常规突发事件及其特征分析 6
2.1.1 非常规突发事件的概念及分类 6
2.2 应急协同决策 8
2.2.1 协同决策 8
2.2.2 应急协同决策及其构成要素 8
2.3 本章小结 10
第三章 突发事件应急协同决策预案的综合评价指标 11